Against the Gods - The Remarkable Story of Risk

Der Bestseller zur Risikobewertung jetzt als Broschurausgabe. Das ganze Leben ist ein einziges Risiko. Menschen in allen Bereichen des Lebens - Politiker, Wissenschaftler, Geschäftsleute, sogar Familien - müssen regelmäßig Entscheidungen treffen, die in irgendeiner Form Risiken bergen. Die Fähigkeit, das Ausmaß des Risikos solcher Entscheidungen zu bewerten und einzugrenzen gehört zu den Grundprinzipien der modernen Gesellschaft. 'Against the Gods' erzählt die Abenteuer einer Gruppe kühner Denker, die sich auf eine intellektuelle Entdeckungsreise begeben haben und den urzeitlichen Aberglauben verwandelt haben in leistungsstarke Methoden zur Risikokontrolle, wie sie heute Anwendung finden. Interessant und spannend geschrieben und ohne den sonst themabedingten technischen und mathematischen Ballast.

Klappentext:

A Business Week, New York Times Business, and USA Today Bestseller

"Ambitious and readable . . . an engaging introduction to the oddsmakers, whom Bernstein regards as true humanists helping to release mankind from the choke holds of superstition and fatalism." -The New York Times

"An extraordinarily entertaining and informative book." -The Wall Street Journal

"A lively panoramic book . . . Against the Gods sets up an ambitious premise and then delivers on it." -Business Week

"Deserves to be, and surely will be, widely read." -The Economist

"[A] challenging book, one that may change forever the way people think about the world." -Worth

"No one else could have written a book of such central importance with so much charm and excitement." -Robert Heilbroner author, The Worldly Philosophers

"With his wonderful knowledge of the history and current manifestations of risk, Peter Bernstein brings us Against the Gods. Nothing like it will come out of the financial world this year orever. I speak carefully: no one should miss it." -John Kenneth Galbraith Professor of Economics Emeritus, Harvard University

In this unique exploration of the role of risk in our society, Peter Bernstein argues that the notion of bringing risk under control is one of the central ideas that distinguishes modern times from the distant past. Against the Gods chronicles the remarkable intellectual adventure that liberated humanity from oracles and soothsayers by means of the powerful tools of risk management that are available to us today.

"An extremely readable history of risk." -Barron s

"Fascinating . . . this challenging volume will help you understand the uncertainties that every investor must face." -Money

"A singular achievement." -Times Literary Supplement

"There s a growing market for savants who can render the recondite intelligibly-witness Stephen Jay Gould (natural history), Oliver Sacks (disease), Richard Dawkins (heredity), James Gleick (physics), Paul Krugman (economics)-and Bernstein would mingle well in their company." -The Australian

Inhaltsverzeichnis:

TO 1200: BEGINNINGS.
The Winds of the Greeks and the Role of the Dice.
As Easy As I, II, III.
1200-1700: A THOUSAND OUTSTANDING FACTS.
The Renaissance Gambler.
The French Connection.
The Remarkable Notions of the Remarkable Notions Man.
1700-1900: MEASUREMENT UNLIMITED.
Considering the Nature of Man.
The Search for Moral Certainty.
The Supreme Law of Unreason.
The Man with the Sprained Brain.
Peapods and Perils.
The Fabric of Felicity.
1900-1960: CLOUDS OF VAGUENESS AND THE DEMAND FOR PRECISION.
The Measure of Our Ignorance.
The Radically Distinct Notion.
The Man Who Counted Everything Except Calories.
The Strange Case of the Anonymous Stockbroker.
DEGREES OF BELIEF: EXPLORING UNCERTAINTY.
The Failure of Invariance.
The Theory Police.
The Fantastic System of Side Bets.
Awaiting The Wildness.
Notes.
Bibliography.
Indexes.